2016 Vermont gubernatorial election
County results
Municipality results Scott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%Minter: 40-50% 50-60% 60–70% 70–80%Tie: 40–50%
The 2016 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2016, and elected the governor of Vermont , concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election , as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections .
Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin was eligible to run for re-election to a fourth term in office, but opted to retire instead.
The primaries were held on August 9. Former Vermont Agency of Transportation Secretary Sue Minter won the Democratic nomination, and Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott won the Republican primary, with Scott defeating Minter in the general election. This was the first gubernatorial election in Vermont in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president since 1992.
Background
Two-term Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin ran for re-election in 2014 and was widely expected to win easily. However, he only took a plurality of the vote, 46.36%, to Republican Scott Milne 's 45.1%, and thus the result was decided by the Vermont General Assembly . The Assembly picked Shumlin by 110 votes to 69. Shumlin announced in June 2015 that he would not run for a fourth term.
Vermont and New Hampshire are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years.
Democratic primary
In August, Vermont House Speaker Shap Smith announced that he would be a candidate, but ended his candidacy in November 2015, after his wife was diagnosed with breast cancer. In September, Matt Dunne announced that he would also be a candidate. Also in September, former state legislator Sue Minter , then serving as Vermont's Secretary of Transportation , announced that she would resign her position in order to join the Democratic race. Former Ambassador Peter Galbraith announced his candidacy in March 2016.
In July, H. Brook Paige was excluded from official Democratic Party events after making derogatory comments on social media.
Minter won the nomination decisively, and was endorsed by Dunne but not Galbraith.
Candidates
Declared
Withdrawn
Declined
Endorsements
Matt Dunne
Individuals
Current legislators
Tom Ayres, (D ), Burlington City Council member
John Bartholomew, representative from Hartland
Philip Baruth , Senate Majority Leader from Chittenden County
Steve Berry, representative from Manchester
Tim Briglin, representative from Thetford
Robin Chestnut-Tangerman, representative from Middletown Springs
Kevin "Coach" Christie, representative from Hartford
Alison Clarkson, representative from Woodstock
Selene Colburn (P), Burlington City Council member
Dan Connor, representative from Fairfield
Susan Hatch Davis , representative from Washington
Bill Frank, representative from Underhill
Sara Giannoni (P ), Burlington City Council member
Jane Knodell (P), Burlington City Council President
Gabrielle Lucke, representative from White River Junction
Chip Mason (D), Burlington City Council member
Dick McCormack, senator from Windsor County
Mark McDonald, senator from Orange County
Barbara Rachelson, representative from Burlington
Adam Roof (I), Burlington City Council member
Donna Sweaney, representative from Windsor
Max Tracy (P), Burlington City Council member
Tommy Walz, representative from Barre
Sam Young, representative from Glover
Teo Zagar, representative from Barnard
Former legislators
Judith Stephany Ahearn, senator from Chittenden County
Sandy Baird, representative from Burlington
Joyce Barbieri, representative from Wallingford
Chuck Bohi, representative from Hartford
Gordon Bristol, representative from Brattleboro
Carol Buchdahl, representative from Georgia
Jack Candon, representative from Norwich
Mary Ann Carlson, senator from Bennington County
Diane Carmolli, representative from Rutland City
Matt Choate, senator from Caledonia County
Andrew Christiansen, representative from East Montpelier
Wendell Coleman, representative from Londonderry
Don Collins, senator from Franklin County
Michel Consejo, representative from Swanton
Thomas Costello, representative from Brattleboro
Barbara Grimes, representative from Burlington
Christopher Healy, representative from Norwich
Steve Hingtgen, representative from Burlington
Cheryl Hooker, representative from Rutland City
Margaret Hummel, representative from Underhill
Michael Klopchin, representative from Clarendon
Alysia Krasnow Butler, representative from Charlotte
Jerry Kreitzer, representative from Rutland City
Doris Lingelbach, representative from Thetford
Mary Mazzariello, representative from Rutland City
Hinda Miller, senator from Chittenden County
Anne Mook, representative from Bennington
Donny Osman, representative from Plainfield
Mary-Ann Parizo, representative from Essex
Dexter Randall, representative from Newport
Cheryl Rivers, senator from Windsor County
Ann Seibert, representative from Norwich
Ernest Shand, representative from Weathersfield
Andrew Snyder, representative from Pittsford
Bob Stannard, representative from Manchester
Sheila Vowinkel, representative from Hartford
Perry Waite, representative from Pawlett
Linda Waite-Simpson, representative from Essex
Cindy Weed, representative from Enosburg
Jeff Young, representative from St. Albans
Organizations
Newspapers
Sue Minter
Individuals
Chris Bray (D), state senator and Senate Natural Resources Committee Chairman
Howard Dean (D), former governor of Vermont
Philip H. Hoff (D), former governor of Vermont
Madeleine Kunin (D), former governor of Vermont, former lieutenant governor of Vermont, and former United States Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein
Jason Lorber (D), former Chittenden state representative
Bill McKibben , climate activist (originally supported Dunne)
Doug Racine (D), former Secretary of the Vermont Agency of Human Services, former lieutenant governor , nominee for governor in 2002 and candidate for governor in 2010
Mary Sullivan (D), Chittenden state representative
Organizations
Newspapers
Polling
Results
Republican primary
In September 2015, Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott entered the race, and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Scott Milne , who had been considering running, endorsed Scott. In October 2015, retired Wall Street executive Bruce Lisman officially announced his "outsider" candidacy.
Scott was endorsed by most active Vermont Republican politicians, and held a strong lead in a February poll. Lisman's campaign criticized Scott for being too closely connected to outgoing Democratic governor Peter Shumlin and for "plagiarizing" Lisman's ideas, and linked Scott to the "failures" of the Vermont Health Connect insurance platform and the school redistricting Act 46; the candidates' campaigns disagreed over whether this constituted "negative campaigning," and Scott's campaign said the attacks were "patently false".
Scott won the nomination by a large margin.
Candidates
Declared
Declined
Endorsements
Phil Scott
Vermont state officials
Randy Brock, former Vermont State Auditor and State Senator (R-Franklin), and candidate for Lt. Governor
Jim Douglas , former Governor of Vermont
Vermont State Senators
Joe Benning, Vermont Senate Minority Leader (R-Caledonia)
Brian Collamore, Vermont Senate Assistant Minority Leader (R-Rutland)
John Crowley, former Vermont State Senator (R-Rutland)
Judy Bloomer Crowley, former Vermont State Senator (R-Rutland)
Dustin Allard Degree , Vermont State Senator (R-Franklin)
William T. Doyle , Vermont State Senator (R-Washington)
Margaret Flory, Vermont State Senator (R-Rutland)
Jim Greenwood, former Vermont State Senator (R-Essex/Orleans)
Hull Maynard, former Vermont State Senator (R-Rutland)
Dick Mazza, state senator (D-Grand Isle)
Kevin Mullin, Vermont State Senator (R-Rutland)
Helen Riehle , Vermont State Senator (R-Chittenden)
Richard Westman, Vermont State Senator (R-Lamoille)
Vermont State Representatives
Steve Adams, former Vermont State Representative (R-Hartland)
Robert Bancroft, Vermont State Representative (R-Westford)
Fred Baser, Vermont State Representative (R-Bristol)
Lynn Batchelor, Vermont State Representative (R-Derby Line)
Scott Beck, Vermont State Representative (R-St. Johnsbury)
Steven Beyor, Vermont State Representative (R-Highgate Springs)
David Bolduc, former Vermont State Representative (R-Barton)
Donald Bostic, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Johnsbury)
Carolyn Branagan, Vermont State Representative (R-Georgia)
Patrick Brennan, Vermont State Representative (R-Colchester)
David Brown, former Vermont State Representative (R-Walden)
Thomas Burditt, Vermont State Representative (R-West Rutland)
William Canfield, Vermont State Representative (R-Fair Haven)
Howard Crawford, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Johnsbury)
Lawrence Cupoli, Vermont State Representative (R-Rutland City)
Dennis Devereux, Vermont State Representative (R-Belmont)
Eileen Dickinson, Vermont State Representative (R-St. Albans)
Anne Donahue, Vermont State Representative (R-Northfield)
Joyce Errecart, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Shelburne)
Peter Fagan, Vermont State Representative (R-Rutland City)
Martha Feltus, Vermont State Representative (R-Lyndonville)
Larry Fiske, Vermont State Representative (R-Enosburg Falls)
John Follett, former Vermont State Representative (R-Springfield)
Walt Freed, former Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives (R-Dorset)
Marianna Gamache, Vermont State Representative (R-Swanton)
Rodney Graham, Vermont State Representative (R-Williamstown)
Michael Hebert, Vermont State Representative (R-Vernon)
Robert Helm, Vermont State Representative (R-Fair Haven)
Mark Higley, Vermont State Representative (R-Lowell)
Connie Houston, former Vermont State Representative (R-Ferrisburgh)
Adam Howard, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Cambridge)
Ronald Hubert, Vermont State Representative (R-Milton)
Bernard Juskiewicz, Vermont State Representative (R-Cambridge)
Duncan Kilmartin, former Vermont State Representative (R-Newport)
Tom Koch, former Vermont State Representative (R-Barre Town)
Patti Komline , Vermont State Representative (R-Dorset)
Robert LaClair, Vermont State Representative (R-Barre Town)
Cathy Lamberton, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Morristown)
Richard Lawrence, Vermont State Representative (R-Lyndonville)
Paul Lefebvre, Vermont State Representative (R-Island Pond)
Patti Lewis, Vermont State Representative (R-Berlin)
Robert Lewis Jr., former Vermont State Representative (R-Derby)
Judy Livingston, former Vermont State Representative (R-Manchester)
Michael Marcotte, Vermont State Representative (R-Newport)
Richard "Dick" Marron, former Vermont State Representative (R-Stowe)
Marcia Martel, Vermont State Representative (R-Waterford)
Frank Mazur, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. South Burlington)
Patricia McCoy, Vermont State Representative (R-Orleans)
Francis McFaun, Vermont State Representative (R-Barre Town)
John Morley III, former Vermont State Representative (R-Newport)
Linda Myers, Vermont State Representative (R-Essex Junction)
Allen Palmer, former Vermont State Representative (R-Pownal)
Corey Parent, Vermont State Representative (R-St. Albans)
Albert Pearce, Vermont State Representative (R-Richford)
Janice Peaslee, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Guildhall)
Joey Purvis, Vermont State Representative (R-Colchester)
Constance Quimby, Vermont State Representative (R-Concord)
Gary Reis, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Johnsbury)
Carl Rosenquist, former Vermont State Representative (R-St. Georgia)
Brian K. Savage , Vermont House Assistant Minority Leader (R-Swanton)
Heidi Scheuermann, Vermont State Representative (R-Stowe)
Butch Shaw, Vermont State Representative (R-Florence)
Loren Shaw, Vermont State Representative (R-Derby)
Harvey Smith, Vermont State Representative (R-New Haven)
Vicki Strong, Vermont State Representative (R-Irasburg)
Thomas Terenzini, Vermont State Representative (R-Rutland Town)
Warren Van Wyck, Vermont State Representative (R-Ferrisburgh)
Gary Viens, Vermont State Representative (R-Newport)
Scott Wheeler, former Vermont State Representative (R-Newport)
Janssenn Willhoit, Vermont State Representative (R-St. Johnsbury)
Kurt Wright, Vermont State Representative (R-Burlington)
Mark Young, former Vermont State Representative (R-Orwell)
Organizations
Vermont Police Association
Vermont Realtors Association
Vermont Sheriffs' Association
Vermont Troopers Association
Vermont Vehicle and Automotive Distributors Association
Vermont businesspeople
Scott Milne , businessman and Republican nominee for governor in 2014
Newspapers
The Addison Independent
The Burlington Free Press
The Manchester Journal
The Stowe Reporter
Vermont Republican Party officials
Jackie Barnett, former VT GOP Secretary
Jim Barnett, former VT GOP Chair
Suzanne Butterfield, former Windsor County GOP Chair
Paul T. Carroccio, former VT GOP Chair
Mary Daly, Orange County GOP Chair
Josh Fitzhugh, Washington County GOP Chair
John Kascenska , Caledonia County GOP Chair
Steve Larabee, former VT GOP Chair and former Vermont State Representative (R-Danville)
Brent Smith, Groton Town GOP Chair
Vermont Republican candidates
Buddy Barnett, former candidate for the Vermont State Senate
Mike Doyle, candidate for the Vermont State Senate
Riki French, candidate for the Vermont House of Representatives
Jason Gibbs, former Republican nominee for Vermont Secretary of State
Bruce Melendy, candidate for the Vermont House of Representatives
Gary Nolan, candidate for the Vermont House of Representatives
Kate Purcell, former candidate for the Vermont State Senate
Craig Vance, candidate for the Vermont House of Representatives
Bruce Lisman
Individuals
Milt Eaton (R), former Secretary of the Vermont Development and Community Affairs, former Department of Energy foreign attache
Patty O'Donnell , former Vermont State Representative (R-Windham-1)
Job Tate, Vermont State Representative (R-Rutland-Windsor)
Businesspeople
Steve Forbes , businessman and candidate for Republican presidential nominee in 1996 and 2000
On May 6, 2016, Scott received the endorsements of all Vermont Republican legislators (listed above) except State Representatives Donald Turner, Doug Gage, Mary Morrissey, Job Tate, and Paul Dame. Among those five legislators who did not endorse Scott, four said they always remain neutral in a party primary election, and one was waiting until after the filing deadline to make an endorsement.
Polling
Results
Liberty Union primary
Candidates
Declared
Results
General election
Debates
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Sue Minter (D)
Phil Scott (R)
Bill Lee (LU)
Undecided
SurveyMonkey
November 1–7, 2016
454
± 4.6%
51%
47%
—
2%
SurveyMonkey
October 31–November 6, 2016
447
± 4.6%
50%
48%
—
2%
SurveyMonkey
October 28–November 3, 2016
449
± 4.6%
46%
51%
—
3%
SurveyMonkey
October 27–November 2, 2016
424
± 4.6%
44%
53%
—
3%
SurveyMonkey
October 26–November 1, 2016
428
± 4.6%
43%
54%
—
3%
SurveyMonkey
October 25–31, 2016
436
± 4.6%
45%
52%
—
3%
RRH Elections
October 24–26, 2016
1,052
± 3.0%
38%
45%
4%
13%
Braun Research/WCAX
October 19–22, 2016
603
± 4.0%
40%
47%
6%
9%
Castleton University - Vermont Public Radio
September 29–October 14, 2016
579
± 3.9%
38%
39%
7%
14%
Results
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
References
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^ Hallenbeck, Terri (September 29, 2015). "Scott Milne Backs Phil Scott for Governor" . Seven Days . Retrieved July 2, 2016 .
^ Dobbs, Taylor (October 19, 2015). "Lisman Launches Outsider Campaign For Governor" . Vermont Public Radio . Retrieved May 21, 2016 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd "Republican legislators endorse Phil Scott for governor" . Vermont Business Magazine . May 6, 2016. Retrieved May 6, 2016 .
^ "Poll shows Scott leading in governor's race" . Times Argus . February 23, 2016. Archived from the original on August 10, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2016 .
^ a b Ogerman, Josh (June 5, 2016). "Are some Vt. campaigns going negative?" . Times Argus. Archived from the original on June 7, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2016 .
^ "Campaign strategies taking shape" . Times Argus. June 26, 2016. Archived from the original on August 10, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2016 .
^ Hallenbeck, Terri (May 30, 2016). "Lisman, Scott Campaigns Clash Over New Flier" . Seven Days . Retrieved July 2, 2016 .
^ Burbank, April (August 9, 2016). "Phil Scott claims GOP primary victory for governor" . Burlington Free Press . Retrieved August 10, 2016 .
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^ Paul Heintz (October 1, 2015). "Randy Brock to Run for Lieutenant Governor" . Seven Days . Retrieved October 1, 2015 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at "Randy Brock and 100 GOP Leaders Endorse Phil Scott" . August 3, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2016 .
^ Bradley, Pat (September 15, 2015). "Former Governor Jim Douglas Discusses 2016 Republican Race For Vermont Governor" . wamc . Retrieved May 3, 2016 .
^ Hirschfeld, Peter (August 31, 2015). "Update: Bruce Lisman Running For Governor As A Republican" . Vermont Public Radio . Retrieved May 3, 2016 .
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^ "Vermont Police Association Endorse Phil Scott" . philscott.org . October 17, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016 .
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^ "Vermont Sheriffs' Association endorses Phil Scott for governor" . Vermont Business Magazine . August 2, 2016. Retrieved August 2, 2016 .
^ "Vermont Troopers Association Endorses Phil Scott for Governor" . philscott.org . October 20, 2016. Retrieved October 25, 2016 .
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^ Terri Hallenbeck (September 29, 2015). "Scott Milne Backs Phil Scott for Governor" . Seven Days . Retrieved October 1, 2015 .
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^ "Kyle Midura on Twitter" . Twitter . Retrieved May 6, 2016 .
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^ "2016 Governor Race ratings" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 15, 2018 .
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